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10

26.05.2020

American stock markets are showing growth for the first time in a long time

U.S. stock markets opened higher amid news of looming progress in the development of the COVID-19 vaccine, not looking at the fact that as early as Friday the U.S. stock market suffered significant losses amid a number of pessimistic statistics and a new conflict between America and China.

 

The growth of quotations was also provoked by optimism about the restart of the world's largest economies and the statement of Jerome Powell that the current quarter will be extremely unsuccessful for the labor market and the economy as a whole. The expected unemployment rate in the United States is 25%, and GDP could fall by 20-30% due to the suspension of economic activity caused by the spread of coronavirus. Powell said- "I think there's a good chance that there will be growth in the third quarter. There should be a shorter recession."

 

FXTM chief market strategist Hussain Syed says that "the good news is that economies around the world are starting to reopen, indicating that economic activity will begin to partially recover from the full lockdown seen in April."

 

At the moment, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 693.91 points (2.93%) to 24,379.33 points by 17:23 Moscow time, and the Standard and Poor's 500 rose by 73.64 points (2.57%) to 24,379.33 points. and the Nasdaq Composite rose 176.73 points, or 1.96, to 9,191.29.

 

In the U.S., there are those companies that have become more expensive from the restart of economies. The cost of securities from Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS). up 7.2%, MGM Resorts International by 5.8% and Carnival Corp (LON:CCL). 10.6%. Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) and United Airlines added 8.2 percent and 11.4 percent, respectively.

 

The value of Wells Fargo securities (NYSE:WFC) and Co. jumped more than 6%, shares of Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) are adding about 5%, JPMorgan Chase securities are growing by 3.9%.

 

Tesla Inc.'s shares rose 2.9 percent. As authorities in Alameda County, California, approve a plan by the U.S. electric car maker to reopen the Fremont plant

 

Market Value of American Express Co (NYSE:AXP). (AmEx) rose 5.1 percent, but the volume of loans on AmEx cards, one of the leaders of the U.S. plastic card market, in the U.S. fell 8.8 percent in April compared to March, the company said in a statement posted on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC) website.

15

12.05.2020

Yandex will tell about the solvency of Russians

Russian company Yandex announced the release of a new analytical product that will assess the creditworthiness of Russians. The new system has already entered the market and is being tested by several Russian banks at once, but the press service of Yandex said that analytical analysis does not yet affect the issuance of a loan.

 

Currently Yandex is working with OKB and Equifax, which are large credit bureaus. Cooperation is mutually beneficial, since Yandex has anonymous statistical data of users, and organizations have information about the credit burden of Russians. The analysis scheme is simple: the client's identity is identified by e-mail and phone number, then the data is encrypted and transferred to the aggregator for processing.

 

A new analytical tool from Yandex assesses the creditworthiness of customers, it is added to the scoring score, after which the final result goes directly to the bank. Yandex employees say that all data is confidential and is located exclusively in a closed company circuit, and data processing is carried out using automatic algorithms.

 

The press service of Yandex says - “Based on the results of the analysis, the partner receives only one number - the result of the assessment. This result is not a guide to action and does not affect the assessment provided by our partners in the framework of credit scoring. It is for guidance only and is provided for marketing use only. ”

 

It should be noted that the aggregator uses about a thousand factors in its analysis. Developers are silent on what exactly is meant by “factors”, because Yandex has an electronic wallet, browser, mail, taxi aggregator, job search service and many other services.

 

“Predictive models have long been an integral part of business from different areas: retail, logistics, finance and others. Most Internet companies provide such solutions. They help, for example, optimize marketing campaigns, reduce user churn, improve recommendation systems and reduce the risks of making a variety of decisions, ”Yandex noted.

 

Director General of the National Rating Agency Alexei Bogomolov said that based on new analytics that work with aggregated and impersonal data, the scoring score increases the ability of banks to assess potential borrowers.

8

15.04.2020

Dollar rate to Bitcoin: why the price has become lower

Despite the fabulous forecasts from analysts, in mid-September the price of Bitcoin fell below the figure of 10,000 USD. If you analyze Bitcoin from September to August, the price is traded in the range of 9,500 USD to 11,000 USD, at the moment the price for Bitcoin is trading within 9 743 USD, however, in the last 5 days the price goes down. Unfortunately, the launch of the Bakkt platform did not affect the rate hike, the market is on the decline.

 

ICE (New York Stock Exchange) recorded a surprisingly low contracting rate for Bakkt. A total of 72 monthly contracts and 2 day contracts were signed, the sum for one contract was 1 Bitcoin. This indicates that investors consider investing in Bitcoin irrational and are waiting for a depreciation of the rate.

 

Well-known trader Anatoly Radchenko said - "there is a conspiracy theory that institutional investors, who operate large volumes in the regulated market of bitcoin futures, artificially understate the price. In November and December last year, CME had a spike in open positions when the price of Bitcoin fell below $4000. Accordingly, the launch of Bakkt will lead to a new wave of declines of several months before contract holders begin to close contracts."

 

And if Radchenko believes that the launch of Bakkt is a unique phenomenon and the market will soon feel it, then Dmitry Alexandrov (managing director of Ivolga Capital) holds a very different opinion.

 

Alexandrov says- "I believe that the cryptocurrency has already passed its highs and will not be able to return to them. Bitcoin is not a means of accumulation, it is still a means of calculation. While Bitcoin was a pioneer, it was the only way to meet the market demand for the currency of such a plan. Now every day there are new cryptocurrencies, which at least do not differ in nature from BTC, and as much as possible exceed it in their technical characteristics (such as the speed of confirmation of transactions)."